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Month: November 2022
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MON: Eurogroup; Chinese Trade Balance (Oct), Swiss Unemployment (Oct), EZ Sentix (Nov), US Employment Trends (Oct), Australian Consumer Sentiment (Nov). TUE: US Midterms, CBR Policy Announcement, BoJ SOO (Oct), EIA STEO; EZ Retail Sales (Sep), US NFIB (Oct). WED: NBP Policy Announcement; Chinese CPI (Oct). THU: Banxico Policy Announcements; Norwegian CPI (Oct), US CPI (Oct),
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PredictIt odds for the midterms The US midterms take place on November 8 and it all likelihood we will have a very good idea of who holds that balance of power that night. However that wasn’t the case in the most-recent US election and it might not be the case again on Tuesday. Ballot counting
The US nonfarm payroll came in better than expected at 261K vs 205K estimate. The prior month was revised higher to 315K from 263K. So stronger 300K growth month on month with the revision included. The average hourly earnings came in at 0.4% vs 0.3%. So that was higher. The unemployment rate moved higher to
<p>Here's the picture in gold the way I see it.</p><p>1) It has declined for seven straight months</p><p>That's certainly not a sign of a bull market but nothing falls in a straight line and the decline of 13% is better than many major currencies over that period. The decline is mostly a story of US dollar
Comments from the Chicago Fed President Adam Button Friday, 04/11/2022 | 18:39 GMT-0 04/11/2022 | 18:39 GMT-0 Note that the December meeting will be the final one for Evans before he retires. There’s ample capacity to hike even with smaller increments Inflation Inflation Inflation is defined as a quantitative measure of the rate in which
The US stocks are trying to move higher. The Dow was up close to 600 points and the NASDAQ was up over 200 points at the highs today, but have given up a lot of those gains with the Dow near unchanged and the NASDAQ down -35 points. The gains today came despite the stronger
CIBC Research discusses its reaction to today’s Canada jobs report for the month of October. “The Canadian labour market came out of its summer lull in spectacular fashion in October, with an unexpected surge in employment and wage growth. The 108K jump in jobs was well above the 10K consensus forecast, and was enough to
<p>Nick Timiraos from the WSJ in an interview with Fed's Collins, reports that Collins thinks:</p><ul><li>All options it should be on the table at the Fed's next meeting including a 75 or 25 basis point hike</li><li>It is time to shift from a this really rapidly increasing to a more measured focus, deliberate focus</li><li>Continued to believe that
US equity markets have given back huge gains and are now trading flat in a trading day that’s had 4-5 big twists already. Price action today is all about China and whether or not it’s reopening. Art Cashin had a great line on CNBC regarding China reopening talk: A rumor without a leg to stand
AUDUSD has the largest % gain to the upside since 2011 The AUDUSD AUD/USD The AUD/USD is the currency pair encompassing the Australian dollar of the Commonwealth of Australia (symbol $, code AUD), and the dollar of the United States of America (symbol $, code USD). The pair’s rate indicates how many US dollars are
Before the US jobs report, Greg Michalowski of Forexlive outlined the key levels in play. If you did not see that video, you can find it here. So how did the technical levels play out? Pretty well. What was surprising was the price action. If someone told me the data ahead, I would have the
USDCHF fell sharply The USDCHF moved higher initially after the US jobs report, but then reversed and tumbled to the downside. The fall took the price back below the 100 hour moving average at 1.0030 and below the 50% midpoint of the range since October 21 (that high was duplicated during yesterday’s trade). That midpoint
USDJPY moves toward next downside target The nonfarm payroll came in better-than-expected. The unemployment rate was off low levels but still very low. Earnings were touch higher than expected with the year on year coming in as expected and lower than last month but still at 4.7% (but that is less the inflation rate). The
<p>IN this pre-US jobs report VIDO, Greg Michalowski of Forexlive.com outlines the key technical levels in play. Risk is increased. The market is preparing for the next shove.</p><ul><li>0:55 – The <a href="https://www.forexlive.com/terms/e/eur-usd/" target="_blank" id="a68cd323-8af1-4ecb-a8dd-0aa83e90da63_1" class="terms__main-term">EURUSD</a> has retraced and moved back to a key technical area.</li><li>3:54 – The <a href="https://www.forexlive.com/terms/u/usd-jpy/" target="_blank" id="54ffc0de-9a7c-4a70-9e2e-73d5d9b2bfee_1" class="terms__secondary-term">USDJPY</a> is trading between
Crypto Market picture Bitcoin is trading at $20.6K, adding 1.5% in the last 24 hours and almost as much in the 7- and 30-day intervals – a clear illustration of the exhausting sideways market that has engulfed the crypto. However, looking under a magnifying glass, there is an optimistic shift with a positive close on
ZuluTrade has announced that it will continue its growth in the B2B space with licensed brokers only, terminating agreements that fail to pass its compliance curation process as a part of its new transition to ZuluTrade 2.0. The move comes in support of its parent company Finvasia Group’s larger vision to revolutionise the industry by
Prior 45.0 Composite PMI 45.1 vs 44.1 prelim Prior 45.7 The revision higher sees business activity fall at a slower rate than in September but overall conditions remain rather subdued. This keeps a sustained downturn momentum in the German economy, with a recession all but certain heading into next year. Inflation remains a key problem
Remarks by BOE chief economist, Huw Pill Justin Low Friday, 04/11/2022 | 08:13 GMT-0 04/11/2022 | 08:13 GMT-0 It is not for us to tell markets how to price assets Trying to re-anchor our thinking, communication after recent events in the UK The challenge is to set policy such that economic slowdown is sufficient to
RTY (Russell 2000 futures) had a bear breakout down, but then an immediate reversal price action on the 4 hour timeframe, bringing the Russell back into the upward channel (redish channel) shown in the video. Due to the failed breakout, most bears thought they were in a breakout down. But this is a “fakie” or
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