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Month: December 2022
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The over 1% drop in the S&P 500 yesterday saw a daily close below its 50.0 Fib retracement level of the swing higher from October, seen at 3,796. That has been a level limiting further downside in the past week, before we headed into the Christmas break. But as we move towards the turn of
The Bank of Japan buys Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) as part of its yield Yield A yield represents the earnings generated by an investment or security over a certain time period. Yields are typically displayed in percentage terms and are in the form of interest or dividends received from it.These figures do not include the
A snippet from Goldman Sachs on how intervention is conducted in the yen. I’m posting it in case you are interested given the Bank of Japan intervened in the currency in 2022. In September, for example, the BOJ bought around 2.8tln yen, and beefed that up in October to around 6.4tln yen. USD/JPY peaked this
The major US in indices close lower as the end of year approaches. The so-called Santa Claus rally which encompasses the last five trading days of the year and the first two trading days of the new year is in day number three with two days ago to the end of the year. While three
USDCAD runs higher The USDCAD has spiked higher helped by: Lower oil. Crude oil is trading down $1.69 at $77.86. The high price was at $79.85 today Lower stocks. The major indices are all trading lower on the day with the NASDAQ down -0.80%. That has led to a move out of risk Higher yields.
GBPUSD test its 200 hour moving average The GBPUSD has seen a push higher toward the 200 are moving average 1.2121 (see green line in the chart above). The price fell below that moving average line back on December 15, and state comfortably below the level since that time. A move above would have traders
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Just to provide a bit of context, Ito is also touted to be a potential successor to Kuroda for the top job at the BOJ, and he has previously worked closely with Kuroda together at Japan’s finance ministry and was also Kuroda’s inspiration for adopting the 2% inflation Inflation Inflation is defined as a quantitative
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This is one of the most simple technical analysis, and guide (bullish or bearish) that you will probably see. It shows swing traders and buy and holders (or those seeking to sell some of their holdings) exact prices of when the market is in the favor of bulls or bears, and why. The above is
With only three trading days left before the turn of the year, let’s take a look at how the dollar has performed against the rest of the major currencies bloc during the course of 2022. vs EUR: +6.5% vs JPY: +16.5% vs GBP: +11.1% vs CHF: +2.0% vs CAD: +7.0% vs AUD: +7.1% vs NZD:
Takehiko Nakao is a former senior Japanese Finance Ministry official. A former Vice Finance Minister for International Affairs (which means he was in charge of yen intervention decisions). He is being touted as a contender to replace Governor Haruhiko Kuroda next year when Kuroda’s term finishes in April 2023. Reuters carry a piece with comments
From the Bank of Japan: Summary of Opinions at the Monetary Policy Meeting on December 19 and 20, 2022 Full text is here Headlines via Reuters BOJ must maintain YCC until needed to stably, sustainably hit price goal BOJ must maintain easy policy as Japan in critical phase in hitting price goal Japan showing signs
From the Economic Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. Says the researcher has found a recession predictor based on macroeconomic time series, particularly the jobless unemployment rate. This predictor is almost as accurate as the slope of the yield curve but is more accurate at shorter horizons. If you are just
I posted yesterday on : The other leg of this, allowing Chinese people to travel overseas, was not addressed by the announcement. However, the latest from Chinese state media is that: Chinese citizens’ applications for ordinary passports for tourism and visits abroad from January 8, 2023, said the China’s National Immigration Administration has said it’ll
Today we get the Bank of Japan Summary of Opinions from the December meeting. The summary is very useful, it precedes the meeting minutes by many weeks. If you’ve been on an extended holiday and you haven’t seen the BOJ December decision, it was a doozy. Link to the statement, impact, and reverberations through markets
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Bank of Japan Governor Kuroda spoke on Monday in a speech delivered to the business lobby Keidanren. The full text is here at the BOJ website: Kuroda’s key remarks once again reiterated his view that ultra-easy monetary policy would be sustained. Kuroda said that the widening of the tolerance band within which the 10-year JGB
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