It’s a new year of trading but it’s also time to look back at some old seasonal patterns. The US dollar tends to strengthen in January; with an average gain of 0.44% over the past two decades, it’s the second-best month for the dollar index. Where is the dollar strength: It’s the second-worst month for
Month: January 2023
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Bitcoin Market picture Bitcoin has declined slightly over the past 24 hours – the bulls have still not decided to go on the offensive. Perhaps it is because of an overhang of selling orders from struggling miners. The first cryptocurrency is trading near $16.7K to start the day on Tuesday, having retreated from its 50-day
After the Fed delivered a more hawkish than expected stance, the market sold off pretty heavily. The Fed once again had to repeat to the market that they are solely focused on bringing inflation back to their 2% target and they are ready to go above market expectations and risk an overtightening to achieve that.
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<p>Snippet via analysts at Natwest, thier overarching view is for major DM economies to enter into recession this year. </p><p>US CPI forecast down to 3.2% in 2023</p><ul><li>Eurozone <a href="https://www.forexlive.com/terms/i/inflation/" target="_blank" id="ad51a5a2-1afc-4f42-9e62-ea6faf6f90fa_1" class="terms__main-term">inflation</a> at 2.6% this year</li><li>UK inflation at 4.3%</li></ul><p>Natwest cite (in brief):</p><ul><li>"Energy base effects will bring about a sizeable reduction in inflation in the major
Economist/analyst consensus expectations for the Reserve Bank of Australia this year are for: +25 bp at the February (7th) meeting (ICYMI, there is no January meeting) +25 bp at the June (6th) meeting This’d take the Reserve Bank of Australia’s Cash Rate target to 3.6% from its current 3.1%. Goldman Sachs are an outlier, expecting
European Central Bank Governing Council member Joachim Nagel in an interview with the Zeitschrift für das gesamte Kreditwesen published on the Bundesbank website on Monday “Our monthly surveys of firms and households are showing a significant increase in long-term inflation expectations” “I firmly believe that we need to take further monetary policy action to halt
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
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Bitcoin has added 1.4% in the last 24 hours, reaching the 16.7K level. It is a new attempt to test the 50-day moving average on a general lull and an effort by the bulls to paint a more optimistic technical picture with less strength while liquidity remains depressed. Bitcoin Technical Analysis This tactic is already
Technical analysis of Bitcoin evaluates the crypto king by assessing previous prices and volume. Technical analysts don’t analyze a security’s inherent worth, but instead utilize charts and other tools to uncover trends. Technical analysis also uses patterns to predict future price changes. These patterns may be bullish, bearish, or neutral, indicating a price increase, decrease,
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There are really only two camps in financial markets heading into 2023. The group that thinks the Fed has hiked too much and the economy is going into a tough recession The group that thinks the economy holds up and that high rates linger Put me in the second camp, but only in the US.
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Before the post starts, hat tip and big thanks to JC in the comments to this post. — Via Nikkei media, a significant piece if its accurate. The Bank of Japan is considering raising its inflation Inflation Inflation is defined as a quantitative measure of the rate in which the average price level of goods