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Month: January 2023
Adam Button Friday, 27/01/2023 | 16:13 GMT-0 27/01/2023 | 16:13 GMT-0 Every time oil hits $83 and fades, the importance of that level grows. The WTI crude oil Crude Oil Crude oil is the most popular tradable instrument in the energy sector, offering exposure to global market conditions, geopolitical risk, and economics. The instrument is
China is certainly seen as the manufacturing hub of the world but there’s one area of global production that’s largely untouched and it’s the biggest one: Automotive. There aren’t many countries where you would see an Chinese built or designed vehicle on the roads but that may soon change, and it could be far more
<p>It's getting tougher and tougher to ignore the price action in stocks. I think there will ultimately be some angst around the FOMC decision and the likelihood that Powell doubles down on the dot plot but that's not happening today, in part because credit card companies were upbeat on the global consumer.</p><p>S&P 500 futures were
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Market Picture Bitcoin is currently trading at around $23.0K. Spikes to $23.7K and down to $22.5K leave their mark on the chart but do not move the market’s balance point. Interestingly, this oscillation occurs with a rising equity market in the background and a moderately weaker dollar, although this environment often feeds demand for risk.
There have been plenty of reports suggesting that Japan might look to move towards policy normalisation some time after the summer this year and that even helped to spur bond bears to come back into the picture. Then, we have also gotten quite a few remarks from Kishida in the form of “I cannot confirm
Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida was speaking in parliament. Earlier: Adding more now: economy’s falling back to deflation cannot be ruled Kishida cites: domestic demand-driven inflation remains weak “Inflationary pressure based on domestic demand is not strong yet, as current consumer price increases are brought by global raw material inflation and a weak yen” This
Summary of CS technicals on the Australian dollar. Medium-term moving averages are close to seeing a bullish cross higher short-term MACD momentum is very strong market is also threatening to break key resistance at 0.7138. A close above here would open up a move to our core objective at 0.7284/7306 next Near-term support 0.7061, below
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The US released 5 data points at the same time and the initial reaction was modest US dollar strength but that’s since reversed. Bond and equity markets are largely unchanged. Whenever there’s a large chunk of data, there’s always good and bad. The GDP numbers are the main release and growth was a bit better
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Market picture Bitcoin spent most of Wednesday in a shallow corrective mode, pulling back to $22.3K. However, with the start of active trading in New York, optimism returned to the equity markets, pushing BTC to $23.7K by the end of the regular session. We saw renewed pressure and a pullback to the $23.0K level on
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In essence, interest rates refer to the sum of money you are charged for borrowing, expressed as a percentage of the loan’s total value. When borrowing money of any kind, whether it be for a home mortgage or a business loan, it is crucial to understand interest rates. Understanding Floating Rate Floating interest rates can
If you think that experienced traders don’t make rookie mistakes, think again. I remember Stanley Druckenmiller, one of the best global macro traders in history, talking about how he lost billions when he went long the tech stocks in 2000 missing the top of the bubble by an hour or so. Even though he knew
We don’t often, if ever, look at yearly candles. A bigger view goes a long way in trying to forecast where we are and where the stock market is going till the end of 2023. If you are interesting in a unique angle to predicting where this market is headed, please do watch the video
There is a new benchmark for major central banks and that is the Bank of Canada, who decided to hike by 25 bps yesterday and then head to the sidelines. They are the first one to do so and by all measures, all other major central banks are more hawkish than they are at the
I posted earlier from MUFG: More from analysts at the bank, European Central Bank preview: We expect the ECB to deliver another 50bps hike at next week’s policy meeting and continue to signal that at least one more larger 50bps hike is likely at the March policy meeting. We only expect a slowdown in the
Eamonn Sheridan Thursday, 26/01/2023 | 04:02 GMT-0 26/01/2023 | 04:02 GMT-0 Japan’s Finance Ministry’s Vice Finance Minister for International Affairs Kanda. He is the guy (its normally a guy, yeah) who will instruct the BOJ to intervene, when he judges it necessary. Often referred to as Japan’s ‘top currency diplomat’. Comments: Cannot tolerate rapid, one-sided
Jan Hatzius, the chief economist at Goldman Sachs, spoke with CNN in an interview. “We don’t expect a recession” says a 35% chance of a recession (the consensus on Wall Street is roughly 65%) “Our baseline is a soft-landing.” GS cite a strong jobs market: does not see the economy losing jobs on a monthly
An analyst at Reuters says the BOJ January monetary policy board meeting saw heated debate. Such a take on the mood of the meeting is not obvious from the Summary published earlier: There were disagreements, of course. That’s what policy meetings are to discuss. But as to ‘heated’ its hard to tell. Reuters main points
The head of Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc.’s (MUFG) global markets business Hiroyuki Seki spoke in an interview “I think the Bank of Japan could launch an exit strategy as soon as the first half of the next fiscal year under the new leadership,” (Note that Japan’s new fiscal year begins in April. Bank of
Earlier posts on the Bank of Canada monetary policy decision today (read from the bottom up for chronological order): The key points on the BoC via RBC: Bank of Canada hiked overnight rate by 25 bps to 4.5%, but signaled further increases are not expected Positive signs inflation is easing and a slowing economy have
Eamonn Sheridan Wednesday, 25/01/2023 | 23:53 GMT-0 25/01/2023 | 23:53 GMT-0 From that meeting: The BOJ BOJ The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is the central bank of Japan. It was established in 1882 and is headquartered in Tokyo.The BOJ’s main responsibilities include issuing and managing the country’s currency, implementing monetary policy, and ensuring the stability
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