There will be previews of the week ahead soon to come but the big two events next week are: Federal Reserve Chair Powell discussing the US economic outlook at a National Association for Business Economics conference on Monday. This is at 1300 US Eastern time on Monday, September 30 (1700 GMT). On Friday, October 4,
Month: September 2024
Fundamental Overview The USD remains under pressure amid the aggressive market pricing for rate cuts and better global growth expectations following the recent huge Chinese easing measures. It’s now a battle between global growth supporting the risk sentiment and weighing on the greenback and the aggressive rates pricing which could be scaled back if the
Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Khamenei, is holding an emergency meeting of the Supreme National Security Council at his home compound, in response to Israel’s strike in Beirut that targeted the leader of Hezbollah, Hassan Nasrallah. The latest reports suggest Nasrallah was killed but there have been many conflicting reports for hours. The market seemingly isn’t
0815 GMT / 0415 US Eastern time – European Central Bank chief economist Philip Lane delivers opening remarks at a conference about Fiscal Policy, Financial Sector Policy and Economic Growth 0940 GMT / 0540 US Eastern time – Keynote speech by ECB board member Piero Cipollone at “Economics of Payments XIII” conference organised by the
The JPY is the strongest and the GBP is the weakest as the NA session begins. The USD is mixed to modestly lower mainly because of the -1.02 decline in the JPY. The other changes vs the major currencies are showing modest changes on the day with the USD higher vs the EUR, GBP, CAD,
The FT interviewed St Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem and he said that future cuts should come gradually but that if there’s further weakness, a faster pace could be appropriate. That’s hardly a departure from Powell. This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com. Source link
Federal Reserve Board Governor Michelle Bowman voted for a 25bp rate cut last week, dissenting from the majority 50bp cut vote. 1715 GMT / 1315 US Eastern time – Bowman participates in a conversation before the Alabama Bankers Association Bank CEO Meeting. Bowman spoke on Thursday Fed’s Bowman repeats speech from earlier this week. No
The USDCHF is moved lower on the back of the PCE data today and that move has now taken the price of the USDCHF to 0.8400 target. Remember, that area is a low of an up-and-down trading range that has confined the pair going back to August 20. The high of the area comes in
Closing changes in North American equities: S&P 500 -0.1% Nasdaq Comp -0.4% DJIA +0.3% Russell 2000 +0.7% Toronto TSX Comp -0.3% On the week: S&P 500 +0.6% Nasdaq Comp +1.0% DJIA +0.6% US stocks had a strong start and liked the PCE report but the bombing in Beirut along with quarter-end flows added some caution.
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High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
The AUDUSD and NZDUSD are trading it to new highs. For the AUDUSD, it is breaking to the highest level since February 2023. For the NZDU it is trading to the highest level of the year but his just short of the end of December high at 0.63684. For the USDCAD, it has traded mostly
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
They are the next one to shift towards this call, following from HSBC before this. Both had previously expected the ECB to cut rates in December instead. Meanwhile, Deutsche Bank was also out in saying that the ECB needs to step up their pace of rate cuts here. But their call came right before this
The US PCE data was lower than expectations and it helped to push the USD lower. For the EURUSD, the price has moved above a swing area between 1.1181 and 1.11897. The next targets are at 1.1200 and the high for the week at 1.12130. Getting above those levels will have traders targeting the 61.8%
The Australian dollar is at the highest levels since February 2023 as part of a broad selloff in the US dollar following softer US inflation data and China cutting lending rates. The definitive break above 0.6900 in AUD/USD cracks the June 2023 high and a series of highs in that range. It’s accelerated higher since.
A snippet from UBS on Pacific Rim central banks: Fed’s easing cycle is just getting started, UBS see another 50 bp of cuts this year and 100 in 2025 Bank of Japan to raise short term rates by 25 basis points by the middle of 2025 see the most aggressive easing moves from the Reserve
There is just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold. That being for USD/CAD at the 1.3500 level. It isn’t one that ties to a technical level, so it isn’t too significant. But if anything else, it could just draw and keep a lid on price action until we get
The EURUSD started the day with volatile up-and-down price action. The price was trading above and below 100/200 hour MAs indicative of uncertainty from buyers and sellers. IN the morning video, I talked about this dynamic. I gave the small nod to the buyers on the back of higher lows, the price was above the
The main focus this week has been on China and the dollar fell yesterday as risk trades legged higher. The greenback is keeping steadier today but it really has been a bit of a push and pull week for the dollar. USD/JPY is extending higher though, climbing above 145.00 as we await the results of
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