There have been multiple reports saying that the most likely OPEC+ result is an extension of production curbs through Q1, followed by the start of the planned return of barrels. Normally, I would argue that’s priced in and tomorrow’s price action should be smooth if/when that’s announced. However, the oil market operates differently and there
Month: December 2024
I have no objection to a rate cut next week but reserve judgement until the meeting There is very clearly a coordinated ECB effort to clam down on any expectations of 50 bps next week. This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com. Source link
Fundamental Overview The US Dollar continues to consolidate around the highs as the market reached the peak in the repricing of interest rates expectations and it will need stronger reasons to price out the remaining rate cuts for 2025. This was signalled by the lack of US Dollar strength after lots of strong US data
AUD/USD daily chart From earlier: Australia GDP Q3 0.3% versus 0.4% estimate After the report was released, the aussie dropped and eventually took a run under the key short-term support region of 0.6433-50. There was a slight bounce after as we began European trading but now we’re seeing price run back to the downside. If
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There is just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold. That being for EUR/USD at the 1.0525 level. That should help to keep price action locked in during the session ahead, especially with the 100-hour moving average providing a short-term ceiling as well around 1.0530 currently. All this before we
The AUDUSD is running to the downside and is looking to test a key swing area support floor between 0.6433 and 0.64419. The price has bottomed in that area on 5 separate days over the last 15 trading days with the price finding buyers on each dip. Needless to say, a break below the level
Prior month 50.0 Services PMI 51.5 vs 52.4 estimate This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com. Source link
Bank of Korea (BOK) will increase short-term liquidity measures starting Wednesday Will loosen collateral policies in repo operation to ease any bond market jitters. Will deploy various measures to stabilize FX market as needed Will make any special loans available to inject funds into markets if needed. The Authorities are doing all they can to
Fundamental Overview The US Dollar continues to consolidate around the highs as the market reached the peak in the repricing of interest rates expectations and it will need stronger reasons to price out the remaining rate cuts for 2025. This was signalled by the lack of US Dollar strength after lots of strong US data
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
Oct PCE data consistent as of now with a return to 2% inflation Continuation of disinflation, modest job market cooling show Fed goals roughly in balance Rate cuts so far were steps in removing policy restraint, Fed in process of moving toward more-neutral level Current policy well-positioned to deal with uncertainty Will vigilantly monitor for
Financial markets work at their own pace: it’s not just a nice phrase; it’s a reality. For example, over the past two years, there have been many reasons for a market crash, but optimism has persisted. And it still holds to this day, despite pundits claiming that the S&P 500 is “overbought.” The situation in
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Fundamental Overview The US Dollar continues to consolidate around the highs as the market reached the peak in the repricing of interest rates expectations and it will need stronger reasons to price out the remaining rate cuts for 2025. This was signalled by the lack of US Dollar strength after lots of strong US data
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