Not everyone invests in the financial markets, but our lives and well-being are often influenced by what happens in them, especially regarding currencies. Maybe not always directly, but still. For example, when a currency depreciates, imported goods become more expensive, increasing overall inflation. This, in turn, can lead to a reduction in real wages as
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As the US elections draw near, the financial markets are bracing for potential volatility, presenting both opportunities and challenges for traders. To help navigate this crucial period, Tickmill, a multi-asset broker that prides itself on being founded by traders for traders, has launched the US Elections – Traders Hub, a comprehensive resource tailored to meet
Greg Ip is the chief economics commentator for The Wall Street Journal (gated). He has weighed in on the FOMC decision coming up on Wednesday, September 18: The Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision this week looks more difficult than it should be. The real question isn’t how much to cut, but where rates ought to be.
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Fundamental Overview Yesterday, around 1:00 PM ET, WSJ’s Timiraos published an article which seemed like suggesting that a 50 bps cut is still being discussed. The market responded by raising 50 bps cut probabilities to around 43% from 13% before the news. Nick Timiraos is considered a Fed “insider”, so the market is attentive to
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
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High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
As the North American session begins, the JPY is the strongest and the AUD is the weakest. The USD is mixed to lower. TGIF to all traders. The USDJPY is reacting to the BOJ not raising and the Fed perhaps going 50 bps. The day after the ECB cut, a number of ECB officials are
Crude oil futures is settling at $68.65. That is down $0.32 -0.46%. The high price reached $70.32. The low price was at $68.50 THe selling into the settlement took the price below the 200 hour MA at $68.91. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com. Source link
The Federal Reserve is in its blackout period, which means no communication from Fed officials on their outlook for monetary policy. Going into the blackout Fed officials very much played won anything other than 25bp. And now this, the probability of a 50bp hik has surged. Its not unusual for ‘leaks’ to come though, if
In the kickstart video, for September 13, 2024, I take a look at three other major currency pairs – the EURUSD, USJDPY and GBPUSD. For the EURUSD, it moved to a swing area between 1.10976 and 1.11042 and found willing sellers. That area will be a key resistance level today and going forward. Move above
UPCOMING EVENTS: Monday: New Zealand Services PMI. Tuesday: Eurozone ZEW, Canada CPI, US Retail Sales, US Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization, US NAHB Housing Market Index. Wednesday: UK CPI, US Housing Starts and Building Permits, BoC Summary of Deliberations, FOMC Policy Decision. Thursday: New Zealand Q2 GDP, Australia Labour Market report, BoE Policy Decision, US
No economist predict the BOJ would raise rates in September 28 of 52 economists (~54%) expect the BOJ to raise rates by year-end Median prediction for year-end interest rate is 25 bps higher at 0.50% Of those expecting a rate hike, 18 of 23 economists anticipate it to be in December The remaining 5 economists
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The USDCHF is moving lower with the US yields. The price has broken below a cluster of moving averages defined by the 200 hour moving average and the 100 bar moving average on the four hour chart at 0.8478, and the 100 hour moving average of 0.84916. Stay below those levels keeps the sellers more
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Monday, September 16 (ET) Tuesday, September 17 (ET) 5:00am ET: German ZEW Economic Sentiment (Forecast: 17.2, Previous: 19.2) 8:30am ET: CAD CPI m/m (Forecast: 0.1%, Previous: 0.4%) 8:30am ET: US Core Retail Sales m/m (Forecast: 0.2%, Previous: 0.4%) 8:30am ET: US Retail Sales m/m (Forecast: -0.2%, Prvious: 1.0%) Wednesday, September 18 (ET) 2:00am ET: UK
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Expects to reach inflation goal at the end of next year Just some token remarks there by Nagel. It just reaffirms the path that the ECB is on at the moment. This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com. Source link
The AUDUSD is higher for the week after dipping lower earlier in the week where the 200 day moving average stalled the fall. The subsequent move to the upside was able to extend above resistance rotated back down toward support and extend above resistance and and step pattern defined by technical levels. Today the run
The major US stock indices closed the day with gains. The NASDAQ and the S&P had a perfect week with five straight winning days. The NASDAQ index erased it -5.77% decline from last week with a gain of 5.95%. A snapshot of the closing levels today shows: Dow industrial average rose 297.01 points or 0.72%
ECB rate cuts are supportive of growth Current uncertainties emphasise the dependence on fresh data on the economy Will base decisions on assessment of inflation outlook, dynamics of core inflation, and also the strength of monetary policy transmission To sum up, he’s just saying that the ECB is on the right path in cutting rates.
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