There are a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold. The first ones are for EUR/USD and they are layered between 1.0700 through to 1.0800, with another large one sandwiching that at 1.0750. As such, price action is likely to keep more muted once again with more of the same

When I look at the July seasonals, there isn’t much in the FX market. The patterns are minor and the moves small as the summer complacency sets in. One thing stands out though: US equities. The S&P 500 has climbed for eight straight years in July with an average gain of more than 3%. Stretching

There are quite a number to take note of on the board for today, as highlighted in bold. But the caveat for all of them is that no matter the expiry sizes, trading sentiment today will be largely driven by the bond market and that will depend on what we get from the US non-farm

There are a couple to take note of for EUR/USD, as highlighted in bold. But they are a little distance away at 1.0550 and 1.0575 with another decently large one at 1.0600. The figure level doesn’t really offer too much technical significance and in fact, so do the other two significant expiry levels today. But

The US dollar continues to lose ground ahead of today’s non-farm payrolls report. That’s helped to boost EUR/USD up to 1.0558. For the 10am NY cut, there are some huge expiries today, both in the 1.0650 range and 1.0450 range. The euro options expirations aren’t the only notable ones with some big Aussie numbers rolling

Before we get into October, let’s take a look back at how the seasonals did in September. At the end of August, I highlighted some trends in the month, including weakness in the S&P 500 and MSCI world index. Ultimately, both stuck to the seasonal script. Another one I highlighted was yen weakness (USD/JPY rose

If you’re a trader who only believes in seasonals then today is the day to buy stocks. There’s a dip and September is finishing on a weak note. Of course it looks bad right now but that’s how it always looks when sentiment is bad. As a reminder, you only need to go back a

There are a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold. But for a month-end and quarter-end date, there aren’t too many significant option expiries to be wary about. The first for EUR/USD is at 1.0600 and is a relatively large one, so it adds to a defensive layer at the figure level alongside

There are a couple of large ones to take note of, as highlighted in bold. The first being for EUR/USD near the 1.0600 mark, similar to yesterday. That should keep a lid on price action in any push higher amid an extension of the ranges for today. Sellers remain in control, so offers at the

We’re closing out September with poor returns for equity markets. That shouldn’t have been a big surprise if you follow the seasonals I posted in late August. In general, seasonals are more valuable than they’re given credit for. They really shouldn’t work in an efficient market but they do. At worst, they’re another tool to

There are a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold. The first being a set of expiries for EUR/USD at 1.0740-50, which could keep price action more limited closer to said levels before rolling off later in the day. As for technical upside, the 1.0800 mark remains a key line

There are a couple of large ones to take note of for the day, as highlighted in bold. The first few being for EUR/USD at 1.0875 and 1.0900 but both levels don’t really hold much technical significance. The charts are showing that price action has room to roam between its 200-day moving average at 1.0810

There are a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold. The first being for EUR/USD near the 1.0800 mark and that could see price action be more drawn to the figure level as the 200-day moving average at 1.0805 is also of keen interest at the moment. Buyers will be

There are a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold. The first ones being for EUR/USD with large ones at 1.0800 and 1.0900-10 being the more significant ones I would say. The former sits near key technical levels as supported by price action yesterday while the latter keeps just below the 100-day moving

There are a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold. The first ones being for EUR/USD, which I would say the expiries at 1.0800 would be more of a significant factor if we do see price action roam towards that level in the session ahead. Such a play would be subject to the

There are a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold. The first being ones for EUR/USD at 1.0850 and 1.0900. Those are likely to keep price action more contained on the session, before rolling off later today. This comes as the downside momentum continues to hold, with the 100-day moving

There are a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold. The first being for EUR/USD at 1.0900, which could limit some downside pressure on the session. However, keep in mind that technically we are seeing a break under the 100-day moving average of 1.0930 and that matters more to price action momentum in

There are quite a number to take note of for the day, as highlighted in bold. The big ones being for EUR/USD near 1.0900 as well at 1.1000 and just above that. The expiries at around 1.1000-25 is likely to keep any upside in check before rolling off on the day but just be wary

There are a couple to take note of for the day, as highlighted in bold. The first being a bunch of expiries for EUR/USD in the region of 1.1030-50. The largest of them being the one at 1.1050 but put together, there is a lot of interest in and around those levels. If you pair

In late-June I highlighted that seasonals for stock markets were strong for July and that’s exactly what took place, including a 13-day rally in Dow Jones Industrial Average. That chapter is closing and it’s time to turn the page to August so here are some seasonal highlights: Worst month for the German DAX Worst month

There are just a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold. The first being for EUR/USD at 1.1000, so that could keep price action a little more sticky just in and around the figure level during the session ahead. The pair is observing a narrow range so far today, as we are seeing

There are quite a number of large expiries to take note of for the day, as highlighted in bold. The first being for EUR/USD near the 1.1200 mark, so that will likely help to play a role in limiting any downside pull in the pair. This fits with the recent price action that we have

There aren’t any significant expiries to take note of for the day. As such, trading sentiment will continue to rely more on the technicals and the risk mood before we get to the US CPI data tomorrow. A couple of key ones to watch will be EUR/USD as it begins to run above 1.1000, with

There are a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold. The first being for EUR/USD at 1.0920 and the region of 1.0970-80. The current spot price is sandwiched in between both the large set of expiries but in terms of technical significance, they aren’t too relevant. As such, we may

There are some large expiries to be mindful of for the day ahead, as highlighted in bold. The first ones being for EUR/USD and that is likely to keep price action more trapped between 1.0800 and 1.0900. The latter in particular is likely to offer a bit of a cap alongside the key hourly moving

There are a couple of big ones to take note of, as highlighted in bold. The main ones in particular are for EUR/USD with the larger of the two sitting at 1.0900. That might keep price action more anchored and if anything else, should at least provide a decent attraction for price to hold around

There aren’t any significant expiries to take note of for today. However, keep an eye out for a minefield of large expiries in EUR/USD all through 1.0640 to 1.0900 tomorrow. It’s quadruple witching season again in markets, so that explains what we’re seeing there. In terms of how that will affect price action, that’s a

There are a couple of big ones to take note of, as highlighted in bold. The first being for EUR/USD and that sits closer to the 1.0700 mark. As such, it could act as an anchor for price action or at least keep it from straying away too far to the downside before rolling off

There are a couple to take note of for today, as highlighted in bold. The first being for EUR/USD, with a large set of expiries sitting at around the 1.0740-50 region. With there being little to work with in the session ahead, that could be a bit of a magnet and hold price action in