May was a strong month for the US dollar, which is in line with seasonal history. It’s the best month for the dollar and added to that this year, with the dollar index rising 2.5%. Will the seasonals work again in June? The old adage in markets is ‘sell in May and go away’. That

The speculative market remains far too long euros but pared back the position in the latest week of CFTC data, in what might be a sign of what’s to come. the EUR’s net speculative long positioning witnessed a significant decrease, dropping to 173,736 contracts compared to 187,089 in the previous week. As investors appeared to

There is just one to take note of, as highlighted in bold. That being for EUR/USD near 1.0800, which adds to technical resistance and offers at the figure level as well as the 100-day moving average at 1.0815. That might come into play if we do see a notable rebound in price action in the

EUR/USD– 1.0795-10 (€751m)– 1.0825-35 (€556m)– 1.0915-20 (€619m) USD/JPY– 134.50 ($2.1bn)– 135.50 ($1.3bn)– 136.00-10 ($1.3bn)– 136.80 ($806m)– 137.00 ($503m) USD/CAD– 1.3400 ($1.2bn)– 1.3450 ($1.3bn) EUR/JPY– 141.00 (€1.0bn) There are a couple of big ones to take note of, as highlighted in bold. The one for USD/JPY near the 136.00 mark doesn’t have too much technical significance,

EUR/USD– 1.0960 (€1.2bn)– 1.0975 (€680m)– 1.0990-00 (€1.5bn)– 1.1050 (€500m) GBP/USD– 1.2300 (£375m)– 1.2610 (£356m) USD/CAD– 1.3750 ($412m) AUD/USD– 0.6625 (A$402m)– 0.6700-15 (A$1.4bn) There are a couple of significant ones for the day, as highlighted in bold. The first being for EUR/USD near the 1.1000 mark, which could keep price action more trapped around current levels.

EUR/USD– 1.0925-35 (€855m)– 1.0945-50 (€1.5bn)– 1.0975-80 (€1.1bn)– 1.0985-90 (€550m)– 1.1000 (€679m)– 1.1035-40 (€811m) USD/JPY– 133.90-00 ($1.1bn)– 135.00 ($1.3bn)– 136.00 ($826m)– 136.50-60 ($1.1bn)– 137.00 ($710m) GBP/USD– 1.2550 (£372m) AUD/USD– 0.6550-60 (A$619m)– 0.6600 (A$656m) EUR/CHF– 1.0000 (€559m) AUD/NZD– 1.0850 (A$684m) There are a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold. The ones for EUR/USD may

EUR/USD– 1.1000 (€3.1bn)– 1.1025-30 (€594m)– 1.1040-50 (€1.3bn) USD/JPY– 134.00 ($536m)- 135.00 ($422m) GBP/USD– 1.2395-00 (£407m) USD/CHF– 0.8820 ($400m) USD/CAD– 1.3600 ($809m)- 1.3625 ($387m) AUD/USD– 0.6550 (A$924m)– 0.6600 (A$1.2bn)– 0.6630-35 (A$677m)- 0.6650 (A$405m) There are a couple of big ones to take note of, as highlighted in bold. In particular, the humongous one for EUR/USD at

EUR/USD– 1.0900-10 (€1.0bn)– 1.0975 (€600m)– 1.1000 (€1.0bn)– 1.1040 (€1.0bn)– 1.1125 (€878m) USD/JPY– 133.00 ($786m)– 133.20-35 ($1.1bn)– 134.00 ($618m)– 135.00 ($1.4bn) GBP/USD– 1.2425-40 (£671m) USD/CHF– 0.8900 ($400m)– 0.9000 ($684m) USD/CAD– 1.3565-75 ($921m) There is just one to take note of, as highlighted in bold. That being a decent sized one for EUR/USD at 1.1040. However, after

EUR/USD– 1.1000 (€1.1bn)– 1.1050-60 (€2.0bn)– 1.1080 (€875m)– 1.1100 (€2.2bn) USD/JPY– 133.00 ($300m)– 133.35 ($724m)– 133.60 ($327m) GBP/USD– 1.2300 (£627m) USD/CHF– 0.9005 ($800m) AUD/USD– 0.6665-75 (A$525m)– 0.6720 (A$467m) NZD/USD– 0.6050 (NZ$400m)– 0.6150 (NZ$816m) There are a couple of notable ones to take note of, as highlighted in bold. They are all for EUR/USD but the one

EUR/USD– 1.0870-85 (€1.6bn)– 1.0895-00 (€1.1bn)– 1.0920-25 (€1.9bn)– 1.0975-80 (€948m)– 1.1000-10 (€1.3bn)– 1.1100 (€1.1bn) USD/JPY– 132.00-15 ($1.4bn)– 134.30 ($738m) GBP/USD– 1/2350 (£865m) USD/CAD– 1.3290 ($550m)– 1.3510 ($668m) AUD/USD– 0.6695-00 (A$1.2bn) EUR/JPY– 142.65-75 (€1.1bn) There are a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold. They are both for EUR/USD and are pretty much sandwiching the

EUR/USD– 1.0920 (€528m)– 1.0935 (€931m)– 1.0950-55 (€637m)– 1.1050 (€2.0bn) USD/JPY– 132.50 ($1.0bn)– 133.00-11 ($1.1bn) AUD/USD– 0.6700 (A$2.3bn) There are a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold. The first being for EUR/USD which sits at 1.1050, and that could limit any upside action after last week’s attempted break at 1.1000 failed to materialise

EUR/USD– 1.0800 (€3.4bn)– 1.0850 (€1.7bn)– 1.0885-90 (€1.2bn)– 1.0900 (€6.3bn)– 1.0950 (€1.5bn)– 1.1000 (€3.1bn) USD/JPY– 132.00-05 ($1.3bn)– 132.20-25 ($663m)– 133.00 ($1.2bn)– 134.00-05 ($1.0bn) GBP/USD– 1.2360-80 (£1.1bn) USD/CAD– 1.3525 ($1.0bn) AUD/USD– 0.6625-30 (A$1.7bn)– 0.6645-50 (A$1.7bn) EUR/GBP– 0.8795-10 (€595m) There are quite a number to take of for today, as highlighted in bold. The big ones are all

EUR/USD– 1.0900-10 (€2.7bn)– 1.0940-50 (€640m) USD/JPY– 132.00 ($732m)– 132.15-25 ($863m)– 134.10-15 ($1.1bn) GBP/USD– 1.2300 (£692m) USD/CAD– 1.3800 ($582m) AUD/USD– 0.6700 (A$545m)– 0.6750 (A$1.2bn) EUR/GBP– 0.8755-70 (€480m)– 0.8795-10 (€595m) There are a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold. The first being for EUR/USD closer to the 1.0900 mark, which could see price action

There are a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold. That being for EUR/USD at 1.0850 and 1.0950, which are decent in size. However, they don’t hold much technical significance so I wouldn’t attach too much importance to the expiry levels noted. Near-term support for the pair sits closer to 1.0818-37 at the

The new month begins on Monday and we may already be signs of what’s to come. There are strong seasonal trends in April with a great backdrop for risk trades. It’s a month that has consistently delivered on seasonal patterns that reflect the optimism of the emergence of springtime. The arrival of positive seasonals at

<p>Some of these appear to be too far away to be of much use … but you know what they say about "famous last words " ….</p><p> EUR/USD:</p><ul><li>1.0650-52(EUR848mln), </li><li>1.0800(EUR874mln),</li><li>1.0890-05(EUR553mln), </li><li>1.0920-25(EUR541mln)</li></ul><p>USD/JPY: </p><ul><li>130.00($574mln), </li><li>130.37-55($1.3bln), </li><li>131.00($631mln),</li><li>131.50($1.5bln),</li><li>132.00($827mln)</li></ul><p>EUR/GBP: </p><ul><li>0.8900(EUR1.1bln)</li></ul><p>AUD/USD: </p><ul><li>0.6640-50(AUD643mln)</li></ul><p>USD/CNY: </p><ul><li>6.7500($1.3bln), </li><li>6.9500($576mln)</li></ul> This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com. Source link

There are a few to take note of, as highlighted in bold. The first ones being for EUR/USD layered from 1.0660 through to 1.0710 but in particular, the ones closer to 1.0700 which are significantly large in size. That may very well put a lid on gains in the session ahead, before rolling off with

There are a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold. The first being a set of expiries for EUR/USD from 1.0525 (or even 1.0500) through to 1.0620, which is likely to play a role in limiting price action around the current spot levels ahead of the US jobs report later today. Towards the

We’re at the dawn of another month in the forex market and that’s worth a look at the seasonal patterns. Recapping February, it was another decent one for seasonals. It’s the worst month of the year for cable and that was true again as the pair fell to 1.2051 from 1.2308 at the close of

A discussion with a friend over the break made me realise that the source I was grabbing the option expiries from had a bit of a glitch and hasn’t been fixed. So, I’d like to offer my sincerest apologies to everyone if you guys found the expiries to be a bit weird or funky as

There are a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold. The first being for USD/JPY at 132.50, so that might keep price action more limited in and around said level with the 100-hour moving average also in play – currently seen at 132.53. That could help to see the near-term

It’s a new year of trading but it’s also time to look back at some old seasonal patterns. The US dollar tends to strengthen in January; with an average gain of 0.44% over the past two decades, it’s the second-best month for the dollar index. Where is the dollar strength: It’s the second-worst month for

There is just one to take note of, as highlighted in bold. That being for EUR/USD, which is seen close to current levels as we look towards European morning trade. However, the region around 1.0570-75 doesn’t really provide much technical significance so the expiries could act as a bit of a magnet in case there

The GBPUSD moved up to test its 50% midpoint and backed off The EURUSD ran up to a new session high and in the process took out the highs from the month of November at 1.04798 and 1.0496. In addition, the price rise got within two pips of the 50% midpoint of the 2022 trading

There is one to take note of on the board for today, as highlighted in bold. That being a confluence of decent-sized expiries (so, not as influential) for EUR/USD near 1.0400. That sits just above the 200-day moving average, which is still the key technical level in focus at the moment, at 1.0382. As such,

There are a couple to take note of for today, as highlighted in bold. The one for USD/JPY at 140.00 may not be of much significance, considering that price action has been pivoting in and around that level amid the recent consolidation. The technical levels outlined here are of more importance in my view. Meanwhile,

Yesterday I offered up the October seasonal scorecard but we’re now into November and it’s time to look forward. Here are some historical patterns to help shape your thinking, based on the last 20 years. Best month for USD/JPY — weak yen in general Third-best month for the US dollar The November through February period

Dollar Index monthly In general, October isn’t a very ‘seasonal’ month for markets. There aren’t many strong trends in global asset classes or the forex market but I did highlight some of the patterns at the end of September and emphasized that stock market sentiment was far too negative. Here’s how the patterns panned out.

There are quite a number of large ones layered out for EUR/USD, as highlighted in bold. They are all seen in between 0.9700 and 0.9850, with current spot price caught in the middle of that right now. The way I would view this would be to put together the expiries with the 100 and 200-hour

There are a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold. In the case for EUR/USD, there are quite a number layered around 0.9700 to 0.9850 though the one at 0.9800 is the immediate focus with the 100-hour moving average sitting at 0.9795. That could help to limit any upside push on the session,