How to trade using the RSI as a Factor.
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Weak yen pushes up costs and have big negative impact on consumption But it is a positive for exports and inbound tourism Does not think there is a huge build up of yen carry positions compared to July Seeing progress in sustainably achieving price target Keeping rates low for too long could accelerate inflation and
It is a Buy BUT not yet. Let me explain. Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) remains one of the most popular and closely watched stocks on the market, known for its innovation and dominance in the tech space. But with META trading near its all-time highs earlier this year, many investors are asking: Is it time
Disappointing data this. Machinery Orders (MoM) (September) -1.7% expected 1.9%, prior -1.9% Machinery Orders (YoY) (September) +4.8% expected 2.2%, prior -3.4% — Core machinery orders data is a highly volatile series its used as a leading indicator of capital spending in the coming six to nine months This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at
Economy is in a very good place right now No preset path for monetary policy Won’t take a December easing off the table What’s really elevated is shelter inflation, I’m not seeing evidence of new price pressures I think it’s important to stay the course Doesn’t see a big urgency to lower rates but wants
After rebounding after the US election last week, and approaching the AUDUSDs 100 day MA, buyers turned to sellers and have pushed the price lower ever since. For this week, each of the days have been lower Will today make it 5 for 5? Technically, in order to turn the bias around and give the
UPCOMING EVENTS: Monday: US NAHB Housing Market Index. Tuesday: RBA Meeting Minutes, Canada CPI, US Housing Starts and Building Permits. Wednesday: PBoC LPR, UK CPI, Eurozone Wage Growth. Thursday: Canada PPI, US Jobless Claims. Friday: Australia/Japan/EU/UK/US Flash PMIs, Japan CPI, UK Retail Sales, Canada Retail Sales. Tuesday The Canadia CPI Y/Y is expected at 1.9%
This is a lower-tier indicator but something the Bank of Canada is watching. Despite rate cuts, lending conditions worsened in Q3. They may also be concerned that rising yields could further impair lending in Q4. A problem for Canada (and many other countries) is that the Federal Reserve and US Treasury market does a big
Fundamental Overview Gold is pulling back a bit now after an almost 8% selloff since the US election day. The market didn’t react hawkishly after another hot US PPI report and an acknowledgement from Fed Chair Powell that they can proceed carefully on rate cuts. The market might be fine with just two rate cuts
Until today, USD/JPY had rallied every day this week in impressive fashion. However after some tough talk from the finance minister today, there is some heavy selling. The pair is now down 201 pips to 154.23 as it’s now cut through Wednesday’s low. USD/JPY daily chart I hesitate to put too much of the blame
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Mon: G20 (Brazil) Tue: NBH Policy Announcement; RBA Minutes (Nov); EZ Indicator of Negotiated Wage Rates (Q3), EZ HICP (Final), US Building Permits/Housing Starts (Oct), Canadian CPI (Oct) Wed: UK CPI (Oct), German PPI (Oct) Thu: CBRT & SARB Policy Announcements; UK PSNB (Oct), US Initial Jobless Claims (w/e 16th Nov), Philadelphia Fed (Nov), Existing
Fundamental Overview The US Dollar yesterday weakened across the board despite a higher than expected US Core PPI and Fed Chair Powell acknowledging the need to proceed more carefully with rate cuts from here on. This might be a signal that the market could be fine with just two rate cuts priced in for 2025
US equities are making new lows but bonds have turned around. Ten-year Treasury yields touched the highest since May earlier today at 4.50% but have since turned around and are now down 1.6 bps on the day to 4.40%. US 10s, hourly That’s a solid rejection but the next hurdle is yesterday’s low. A drop
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
Fundamental Overview The US Dollar yesterday weakened across the board despite a higher than expected US Core PPI and Fed Chair Powell acknowledging the need to proceed more carefully with rate cuts from here on. This might be a signal that the market could be fine with just two rate cuts priced in for 2025
Credit Agricole argues that despite similarities, 2025 will not be a redux of the USD’s 2018 rally driven by Trump-era policies. Differences in economic conditions, monetary policy, and the USD’s current strength suggest that the dynamics underpinning the dollar’s movement will differ significantly from 2018. Key Points: Divergent Economic and Monetary Conditions: In 2018, strong
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
Fundamental Overview The S&P 500 rallied into a new all-time high following Trump’s victory and the red sweep as the market started to look forward to bullish drivers like tax cuts and deregulation. The only bearish reason people were looking at was the rise in Treasury yields. That’s generally bearish only when the Fed is
The shine of the election has run into uncertainty about tariffs and elevated P/Es. Pretty much all the gains after the open on post-election morning are now gone and the S&P 500 is now threatening the opening gap while the Nasdaq has already taken a decent bite. Trump’s cabinet picks are leaning heavily on “promises
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